Population : Pressure
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The Durban Metropolitan Area (DMA) is experiencing rapid population growth rate due to increasing urbanisation, natural growth and in migration. This coupled with large scale unemployment, poverty and poor service provision is causing the population of the DMA to impact negatively on the natural environment.

Population Growth Rates 
Recent surveys have indicated a decline in the rates of increase in population growth, attributable largely to the general decrease in family size as well as the impact of AIDS. Current (1996) growth rate is estimated to be approximately 2%, but this varies across racial groups, with the growth rate for the white population being 0.01% and the black population 3.78%. The projected urbanisation levels for 2010 and 2020 are 59% and 62% respectively which implies that in 20 years time almost two-thirds of the total provincial population will be living in urban areas of which the DMA is the largest.

Life Expectancy
Life expectancy rates (at birth) for the DMA ranged from 64 years to 73 years in 1994. This was higher than both provincial and national averages. The extremely high incidence of HIV in Durban's population is likely to significantly reduce these figures. Statistics released by Durban's King Edward Hospital revealed that in 1990 only 1.6% of women attending the antenatal clinic were diagnosed as HIV positive. By 1998 this figure had escalated to 31.07%.

Socio-economic characteristics
The 1991 Census suggested that less than 60% of the economically active population are formally employed in the DMA. Of these, nearly three-quarters earn less than R15 000 annually. Just over 80% of the working age population is functionally literate and less than two-thirds of Durban's population live in formal housing.

Overall, residents of the North, North Central and South Local Council areas appear to enjoy a higher than average level of well-being when their employment, income, housing conditions and education levels are compared to the DMA as a whole. Social well-being in the South Central and Inner West is largely on a par with the DMA as a whole while the Outer West by contrast fares worst of all.

Aids is likely to have serious negative impacts on the socio-economic environment as it is the economically active population that is worst affected by Aids.

Durban's Socio-Economic Characteristics (1991)
Source : Central Statistical Services

Local Council Areas

% formally employed

% earning < R15 000 per year

% earning > R15 000 per year

% with functional literacy

% formally housed

% share of DMA income

Sample Human Development Indices (1994)

North

62.5

67.5

32.5

82.0

90.0

7.4

Tongaat 0.501
Verulam 0.504

North Central

60.2

74.8

25.2

83.0

64.4

36.5

Inanda 0.179
KwaMashu 0.268

South Central

58.3

72.5

27.5

84.0

68.0

30.6

Chesterville 0.302
Lamontville 0.206
Umlazi 0.259

South

63.4

53.5

46.5

90.3

79.9

6.2

Amanzimtoti 0.883
KwaMakhuta 0.292
Isipingo 0.505

Inner West

58.7

74.1

25.9

82.4

61.1

8.7

Kwadabeka 0.283
Marianhill 0.293
Pinetown 0.739
Westville 0.812

Outer

52.1

82.6

17.4

73.1

29.2

10.5

Mpumalanga 0.193

DMA

58.6

73.6

26.4

82.2

63.3

100.0

KZN average 0.58

Level of service provision
There is a wide disparity in Human Development Indices (HDIs) between the wealthy and poor populations, representing first and third world conditions respectively. The HDI's show that significant and substantial variations occur between residential areas in each Local Council area. For example, the HDI's of the lower income residential areas of Inanda, KwaMashu, Chesterville, Lamontville, Umlazi, KwaMakhuta, Magabeni, KwaDabeka, Mariannhill and Mpumalanga do not exceed the value of 0,3. By comparison, the upper income residential areas of Amanzimtoti, Umhlanga, Pinetown, Westville and Kloof all exceed 0,7. The provision of services to rectify these inequalities is considered a priority for the Durban Metropolitan Area. Click here to view a pdf map of the HDI in the Metropolitan area.




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Last update: October 1999