Since 1996, a weather forecasting system has been used
during the winter months to predict periods of poor air
pollution dispersion with a view to reducing the number of
national SO2 guideline value exceedances
in the Durban South Industrial Basin. These initiatives were
implemented by the SO2 Committee. The two
oil refineries in the basin, being the largest emitters of
SO2 in the Durban South Basin, undertook to minimise
emissions of SO2 during these periods by burning
gas instead of oil
at considerable cost to themselves. Attempts were subsequently made to
measure the effectiveness of these initiatives by studying
SO2 monitoring data, but no conclusive
evidence was found. This may be attributed to factors such as
the complex influences of weather conditions on air quality or
the absence of external audits to confirm the extent of
SO2
emission reductions.
For the 1999 winter period the SO2 Committee requested that a broader base of
emission sources be requested to take action during poor
dispersion conditions. The two oil refineries again undertook
to minimise SO2 emissions during the periods,
although to a lesser extent than in the previous years due to
loss of flexibility resulting from a general reduction in
SO2
emissions. Attempts are also being made
to minimise refuse fires and sugar cane burning during these
periods. Unfortunately parameters other than SO2 measurements (eg
visibility) to measure the effectiveness of
this year's winter plan have not been identified or
implemented. In addition, information on actions taken has not
generally been provided. A proper evaluation of the success of
this plan is thus unlikely.
The main success of these initiatives has been that the poor
dispersion alerting system has progressed to become a tool which
fairly accurately predicts periods of poor dispersion, and
that public awareness of poor air quality during certain
periods during winter has been created through issuing alert
notifications in the local newspapers.